UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo odds, best bet

UFC Fight Night takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas and will feature a women's flyweight bout between Jessica Eye and Cynthia Calvillo.

Here's one top play, as well as full odds for the event.

Odds courtesy of theScore Bet.

Over 4.5 rounds (-175)

Eye and Calvillo go to the judges more often than not, and that won't change when they meet on Saturday.

The only time Eye has won a UFC fight inside the distance was against Leslie Smith in 2014, and it was a doctor's stoppage after Smith suffered damage to her ear. Eye has only lost via finish once in the Octagon - in 2019 against flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko, the steepest competition you can get.

Calvillo, on the other hand, is a slightly more proven finisher (as a submission artist), but only against lesser competition; her bouts against former champ Carla Esparza, Joanne Calderwood, Marina Rodriguez, and Cortney Casey went the distance, while Calvillo managed to submit Poliana Botelho, Pearl Gonzalez, and Amanda Cooper - only one of whom are still on the UFC roster.

Stylistically, there's no reason to think this matchup will result in a finish. Eye and Calvillo are even in skill, so I don't expect a dominant performance from either side. The best chance of a finish would be a Calvillo submission, but Eye has good enough offensive and defensive wrestling to neutralize her possible attempts. I suspect the fight will primarily play out on the feet, and neither athlete has proven knockout power.

It's worth noting the bout is five rounds and will be taking place inside a smaller Octagon than usual. That will technically offer more time to finish the fight and could make it easier to find the right openings. While I'd be even more confident in this bet if it was a three-round bout in the bigger cage, I realistically don't see either of those narratives playing big enough of a factor.

Here are the full odds for UFC Fight Night on June 13:

Main card

Jessica Eye (-115) vs. Cynthia Calvillo (-115)
Marvin Vettori (-220) vs. Karl Roberson (+175)
Merab Dvalishvili (-850) vs. Gustavo Lopez (+560)
Andre Fili (-230) vs. Charles Jourdain (+185)
Jordan Espinosa (-165) vs. Mark De La Rosa (+135)

Preliminary card

Mariya Agapova (-250) vs. Hannah Cifers (+200)
Kevin Aguilar (-180) vs. Charles Rosa (+150)
Julia Avila (-525) vs. Gina Mazany (+375)
Tyson Nam (-128) vs. Zarrukh Adashev (+106)
Anthony Ivy (-190) vs. Christian Aguilera (+160)