MLB Tuesday best bets: Blue Jays to power past Red Sox

We picked up another split to start the week, as the Marlins took care of business in Oakland and shut out the Athletics en route to a 3-0 victory.

Unfortunately, the Dodgers - despite five hard-hit deep flys - were unable to score and get a lead through five against the Brewers.

Let's dig into Tuesday's best bets as we aim for a 2-0 night.

Blue Jays (-140) @ Red Sox (+120)

To say Toronto has had Boston's number this campaign would be a serious understatement.

The Blue Jays own a 10-3 record in the season series and have won six of their last seven against the Red Sox, including the last three in Boston.

Toronto should pick up where it left off in this game, despite being rather hit-or-miss lately. Red Sox hurler Josh Winckowski has been in truly miserable form, providing the perfect opportunity for the Jays to get on track.

Over the past month, Winckowski put up a 6.46 ERA and 6.71 FIP. He has struck out batters at a very poor rate (9%), allowed plenty of hard-hit balls, and conceded more home runs per nine innings pitched than every single pitcher projected to start Tuesday.

The Blue Jays have more talent in their lineup than their recent numbers suggest, and a date with Winckowski might be just what they need for that to shine through.

Meanwhile, Ross Stripling - who's slated to take the bump for the Jays - was spectacular in his last start, allowing just one baserunner over 6.1 innings against the Orioles.

The right-hander is unlikely to replicate that sort of effort, but he shouldn't need to. If he's anything close to the guy he's been since the beginning of June, the Jays will be in good shape.

Stripling has posted a 2.93 ERA and 2.87 FIP through 89 innings of work over the last 2.5 months, pitching extremely well when healthy.

If Stripling can hold Boston to a manageable number, Toronto's offense should be able to provide more than enough run support to get a win.

Bet: Blue Jays (-140)

Diamondbacks (-125) @ Royals (+105)

Kauffman Stadium isn't the most hitter-friendly park, especially for power, but that may not matter in this game - the pitching matchup is that bad.

Royals pitcher Jon Heasley has been nothing short of terrible all season long, with red flags all across his profile. He owns a 5.95 FIP - worst among Tuesday's projected starters - and has allowed plenty of hard contact and flyballs. It should also come as no surprise that he's conceded just under two homers per nine innings.

The Diamondbacks aren't the most lethal of offenses on paper, but they enter this game in very good shape. Arizona sits third in hard-hit rate and seventh in wOBA against right-handed pitchers in August.

Suffice to say, the D-Backs are more than capable of taking advantage of a struggling arm like Heasley's.

The Royals should make meaningful contributions to the total as well. Zach Davies has been knocked around over the past 30 days, posting a 6.17 FIP and allowing 2.12 homers per nine for Arizona.

Kansas City sits seventh in hard-hit rate against righties this month. If Davies continues to throw muffins over the middle, the Royals can take advantage.

There is a real potential for fireworks in this game, even in a pitcher-friendly park. Each team should be able to hit a homer or two, which could provide the chunk offense needed to go over the number.

Bet: Over 9 (+100)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.