MLB Tuesday best bets: Jays to pick up 7th straight win

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We have a jam-packed schedule to look forward to Tuesday, with every team in the majors in action.

We're going to back two of the top - and hottest - offenses in MLB with our best bets.

Let's get right to them.

Braves (-120) @ Phillies (+105)

The Atlanta Braves enter this contest having dropped consecutive games for just the second time since the beginning of June. I don't expect that streak to hit three.

Spencer Strider will be taking the bump as he looks to get the Braves back on track. He's been in amazing form over the last month, posting a 1.48 FIP and striking out more than 14 batters per nine innings.

The 23-year-old managed a low ERA of 2.36 despite a .294 BABIP and perfectly normal left-on-base percentage. His numbers don't stem from luck - they're due entirely to individual dominance.

Strider should be able to run up the strikeouts Tuesday against the Philadelphia Phillies. They've struggled against right-handed pitchers this month, sitting 20th in wOBA while striking out more than all but the Los Angeles Angels, Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, and Pittsburgh Pirates.

With a 2.86 FIP and 50% ground-ball rate, Aaron Nola enters this contest in strong form as well. The difference is that he has to go up against one of the league's best offenses.

The Braves are consistently lethal against right-handed pitching, especially in terms of power. They're tied for fifth in wOBA and sit atop the league in ISO against righties in July.

Better yet, they have a fairly strong history against Nola. Their roster owns a .334 wOBA through 246 plate appearances. For perspective, the Minnesota Twins sit eighth in that category in July at .334. The Braves have hit like a top-10 offense against Nola.

With Strider on the mound and the team having a much hotter offense, there's value backing the Braves as small favorites.

Bet: Braves (-120)

Cardinals (+190) @ Blue Jays (-220)

The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up in a big way. They've won six straight games and eight of their last 10 overall. I don't see them slowing down in this spot.

Although the St. Louis Cardinals are a strong team, the absences of Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt - their two best hitters - will likely take a lot of the wind out of their sails.

Even with those two in the lineup, the Cards sit 19th in wOBA versus righties in July. They weren't exactly hitting the cover off the ball to begin with.

While Jose Berrios hasn't pitched very well this season, there are some signs of encouragement in his underlying profile. He posted a much lower FIP (4.24) and xFIP (3.40) than ERA (5.44) over the last month.

Berrios has struck out more than 25% of opposing batters and posted a 22.8% hard-hit rate in that time. That slots him third among the day's projected starters.

If not for a ridiculously high .378 BABIP, Berrios' numbers would look a whole lot better. I'm not saying he's pitching up to expectations, but he is playing at a higher level than the results suggest.

The Cardinals will miss their two best hitters against four-seam fastballs, which just so happens to be Berrios' most-used pitch. If he can keep St. Louis to a manageable number, the Blue Jays should be able to sail to a multi-run victory.

Toronto is arguably the hottest offense in the majors, owning a league-leading .383 wOBA versus righties in July.

As a whole, the Blue Jays are particularly strong against fastball pitchers. With Andre Pallante throwing fastballs nearly 55% of the time, he could be in for a long night.

Bet: Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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