MLB spring training is already underway, and the regular season begins next month. Frankly, you're behind if you haven't already scoped out 2021 win totals.
Let's dive into the over/unders for this season and dish out our three favorite bets.
Believe me, I didn't want to do this, but I have to take the Rockies here.
Yet, here we are, betting the over on a team that just traded away its best player and is now projected for MLB's third-worst record. What gives?
However, Colorado also cut ties with a lot of its weak links. Four of the team's bottom-five players in WAR from last season are gone, as are Tony Wolters (-0.3 WAR in 2020) and Ian Desmond (-3.2 from 2017 to 2019 with Colorado).
The club's 2021 projected lineup features plenty of hitters in their prime, with an average age of 28.4 years old. And there's a lot of juice left in the older guys, like Charlie Blackmon at 34 years old (3.2 oWAR or better in five straight full seasons) and C.J. Cron at 31 (55 homers in 265 games between 2018 and 2019).
As for the rotation, German Marquez, Kyle Freeland, Antonio Senzatela, and Jon Gray are another year older. They're not winning any Cy Youngs at Coors Field, but the Rockies' staff is a lot more stable than others around the majors.
Colorado will be bad. But 65-win bad? That's disrespectful.
The year is 2145. The Athletics just cashed their 128th straight win total over as the public continues to undervalue a small-market team filled with good players. You truly hate to see it.
The Athletics went 36-24 during the 2020 shortened season, surpassing their win total of 32.5. The franchise has now soared past its total in four straight campaigns, averaging an impressive .599 winning percentage over the last three.
The Astros took a step back, and the Mariners and Rangers won't be competitive any time soon in the AL West. The A's will coast through the regular season again, and do it while still getting shorted in the win-total department.
Over bettors would be wise to jump on this early, as the number likely won't drop any lower.
The Cardinals have averaged roughly 89 victories over the last seven seasons, often winning with less talent than what's on their current roster. Arenado's arrival is a big boost for a club that can run away with the NL Central, as only the Brewers are projected to finish better than .500, and that's only marginally (82-80).
St. Louis is flawed as a contender, but the team will mow through the regular season.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.