NBA win totals: 3 teams to bet the under, 3 teams to take the over

Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook released its NBA win totals for the 2016-17 season Tuesday, and it's no surprise to see oddsmakers like the Golden State Warriors to finish on top of the league with relative ease.

Their total of 66.5 is down from last year's record-setting 73-win pace, but that estimate is still 10 wins higher than that of any other other team in the league.

Here are three teams to bet the under on, and three teams that should easily surpass their total for the upcoming season.

Under: New Orleans Pelicans at 36.5

Betting the under on New Orleans isn't an indictment of budding superstar Anthony Davis, the rare generational talent who can carry an entire franchise.

But Davis, like most of his Pelicans teammates, struggles to stay healthy, and this season projects to be no different. Tyreke Evans (knee) and Jrue Holiday (personal) are both unavailable for the start of the year, and the rest of the roster is largely unproven.

The Pelicans only won 30 games last season with Davis appearing in 61 matches. Would an extra 20 starts make up seven wins? Unlikely.

Under: Orlando Magic at 36.5

Orlando overhauled its entire franchise in a matter of months, but it's unclear what remains of the team after all the shuffling.

Last year's squad won 35 games, but 19 of those came before Jan. 1. After flipping the calendar, the Magic went 16-34 to finish the season and jettisoned Tobias Harris at the trade deadline for two players who are no longer on the team.

The Magic did bring in reinforcements this summer, but how much impact will they make? Spending $30 million on Bismack Biyombo and Jeff Green - who haven't proven themselves to be starters - hardly affects their bottom line. They also dealt away possibly their best player in Victor Oladipo for a one-year rental of Serge Ibaka (who overlaps with Biyombo) to strengthen an already robust frontcourt, weakening their thin guard rotation at the same time.

Changing out disgruntled bench boss Scott Skiles for Frank Vogel was a step in the right direction, but Vogel doesn't fix the roster's dire lack of outside shooting or ball-handling.

Under: Philadelphia 76ers at 27.5

Everyone's waiting for Sam Hinkie's Process to yield fantastic results, but Philadelphia's young players are still matriculating.

Though reaching 28 wins is no great challenge, the Sixers are starting from the absolute bottom: They won 10 games last season on the heels of 18- and 19-win seasons.

More importantly, their best players all play frontcourt positions. Ben Simmons is a power forward. So too is Dario Saric, and they have three centers between Nerlens Noel, Jahlil Okafor, and Joel Embiid. There's a lot of talent there, but it overlaps and doesn't make any sense in the aggregate.

Put it this way: A team starting Gerald Henderson and Jerryd Bayless in the backcourt won't get far.

Over: Portland Trail Blazers at 46.5

The Trail Blazers finished with 44 wins last season, but that's not an accurate depiction of their accomplishments.

Having lost four starters last offseason, the Blazers got off to a slow start and bottomed out at 11-20. However, once they adjusted to the change and installed Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum as their new centerpieces, the youthful Blazers finished the campaign on a 33-18 tear.

They went on to beat a banged-up Los Angeles Clippers side in the playoffs before taking a game off the Golden State Warriors. Does that sound like a 44-win team?

Even if the roster was unchanged this summer, internal development should be enough to push the Blazers to a three-win improvement from last year. Factor in offseason additions Festus Ezeli and Evan Turner, and Portland should easily threaten the 50-win mark.

Over: Charlotte Hornets at 39.5

It's easy to overlook the Hornets.

They weren't heard from in the playoffs as they bowed out in the first round. Then they lost rotation players Jeremy Lin, Al Jefferson, and Courtney Lee to free agency.

But the Hornets retained their three core players (Kemba Walker, Nicolas Batum, Marvin Williams) while also finding replacements for their dropped spare parts. Ramon Sessions is a carbon copy of Lin, Marco Belinelli is a better shooter than Lee (who the Hornets only had for 28 games anyway), and, at this point, Roy Hibbert brings comparable value on defense to what Jefferson provides on offense.

Don't forget that Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - one of the best defenders in the league - is also fully healthy after missing most of last season. He should bump the Hornets into contention for a top-five defense.

The under-the-radar Hornets added pieces to a core group that won 48 games last season while finishing in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Are they really nine games worse this season?

Over: Dallas Mavericks at 39.5

Never doubt the timeless combination of Dirk Nowitzki and Rick Carlisle, which has never once finished below .500 in eight seasons together.

While Nowitzki is getting older, the German gunner's accurate as ever, and his supporting cast isn't half bad.

Losing Chandler Parsons and Zaza Pachulia will hurt, but Mark Cuban replaced them with comparable options in Harrison Barnes and Andrew Bogut. Barnes might not be as talented as Parsons, but he's far more likely to play a full season (Parsons missed 21 games last year) and he's a better defender. Bogut, meanwhile, is one of the best rim protectors in the league, and a much better rebounder than Pachulia.

The Mavericks should also get a bounce-back year from Wesley Matthews while expecting improvements from Justin Anderson and Dwight Powell.

As usual, Dallas' supporting cast is rather mediocre, but Nowitzki and Carlisle have consistently spun competency out of average rosters. This season won't be any different.