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Squad Up Daily MLB Early Fantasy Dose: Cheap Reds create a bargain bonanza

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Here is a look at the Squad Up daily MLB fantasy picture for the 11-game slate beginning at 1:05 ET on Sunday, April 30:

Hitter Stacks

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves (RHP Mike Foltynewicz): The Brewers are second in runs per game (5.33) for a reason: they crush left-handed pitching and hold their own against righties with a .327 weighted on-base average. Foltynewicz is known for his velocity, but it hasn't translated to elite strikeout totals; his K/9 is just 7.8. The Brew Crew will put the ball in play -- and they hit it hard.

3-player stack: OF Eric Thames (64K), OF Ryan Braun (65K), C Jett Bandy (45K)

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (RHP Bronson Arroyo): Arroyo has a 6.86 ERA on the season, having twice allowed five or more runs in his four starts. He's a ticking time bomb, capable of making less potent lineups look like All-Star teams. Attack him with players with a strong wOBA vs. RHPs who offer some home run potential.

3-player stack: 3B Jedd Gyorko (53K), OF Stephen Piscotty (57K), 2B Kolten Wong (44K)

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (vs. LHP Wade Miley): The Yankees rank sixth in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. Miley's tremendous start to the season makes this a bit of a contrarian stack, but his 3.42 xFIP offers more hope for opposing hitters than his 2.08 ERA. His 0.69 HR/9 rate could balloon against a team with a .201 ISO against lefties.
3-player stack: 3B Chase Headley (49K), SS Starlin Castro (48K), OF Aaron Judge (49K)

Pitcher Breakdown

  • TARGET - LHP Dallas Keuchel (86K), Astros (vs. Athletics): The Keuchel comeback has been in full swing. Even though his K/9 is an unimpressive 6.6, his ability to avoid hard contact and keep the ball on the ground (his 65.6 percent ground-ball rate ranks second in the majors) allows him to work deep into games without using a ton of pitches.
  • BARGAIN - LHP Jordan Montgomery (59K), Yankees (vs. Orioles): Montgomery has a 8.6 K/9 and 3.78 ERA on the year and a top-three offense backing him up. For his price, you just need him to limit the damage against an Orioles squad which hasn't been nearly as effective against lefties as they are against RHPs this season. Six Ks and a quality start will do the trick.
  • FADE - RHP Jason Hammel (89K), Royals (vs. Twins): The Twins are a middle-of-the-pack unit against right-handed pitchers, but Hammel could be in trouble. His defense has done him no favors, helping him underperform his 3.44 FIP to the tune of a 5.30 ERA through four starts. He doesn't have the gas to strike batters out, and the Twins' greatest strength has been their league-leading 11.7 percent walk rate vs. RHPs.
  • CONTRARIAN - RHP Jesse Hahn (32K), Athletics (at Astros): Hahn has a very tough task on his hands, facing an Astros lineup ranked fourth in team wOBA vs. RHPs. He's not a major strikeout threat, but he has allowed only one home run this season. His 18.7 fantasy points per game ranks sixth among the pitching options on the early slate.

Bargain Plays

  • 3B Eugenio Suarez (43K), Reds (at Cardinals): Suarez has had an electric follow up to his breakout 2016 season. The Reds' infielder has a .333 batting average and .416 OBP with five HRs, six doubles, a triple and a stolen base. There's really no reason for him to be the fourth-cheapest corner infielder on the slate.
  • OF Scott Schebler (41K), Reds (at Cardinals): Schebler has 17 hits on the season; eight left the park and another three were doubles. His .221 average doesn't look like much, but when Schebler makes contact, it's usually a hard-hit fly ball. He's an excellent addition to a deep tournament lineup at this price.

Top Fades

  • OF Jose Bautista (58K), Blue Jays (vs. Rays): A date with RHP Chris Archer has often been good for Bautista, who has three homers off the Rays' ace. Unfortunately, he has hit just .182 against Archer for his career, and he comes into Sunday's contest hitting just .163. Let Bautista again prove he has elite bat speed before trusting him against tough pitching.
  • OF Shin-Soo Choo (61K), Rangers (vs. Angels): Choo has a sparkling .380 OBP but just a .258 batting average. It's going to take a lot more than a couple of walks to return value at this price, especially when Washington Nationals OF Bryce Harper is the exact same price. The relatively safe floor is nice, but with a five-man Squad Up lineup, safety doesn't count for much when you're trying to win big.
  • 3B Nicholas Catellanos (55K), Tigers (vs. White Sox): White Sox RHP Miguel Gonzalez has had his home run rate greatly suppressed this season. This has allowed for an exaggerated 2.00 ERA which is accompanied by a 4.69 xFIP. He has, however, held right-handed hitters to a .152/.220/.196 slash line with a .193 wOBA while facing 50 batters..

Contrarian Plays

  • 1B Logan Morrison (43K), Rays (at Blue Jays): Blue Jays' RHP Aaron Sanchez has missed a pair of starts with a blister, but he has held current Rays batters to a collective .139 BA with just one HR in 72 at-bats. Morrison has a .369 wOBA vs. RHPs this season, already amassing five HRs. While others opt for higher-profile 3B Even Longoria, go against the grain with Morrison.
  • 2B Dee Gordon (50K), Marlins (vs. Pirates): Gordon is 4-for-5 in stolen base attempts this season, but he has had his opportunities limited by a career-worst 2.1 percent walk rate. He has walked at a rate of 4.7 percent for his career, and he boasts a career OBP of .323, compared to his .289 mark this season. Pirates RHP Chad Kuhl is walking 5.21 batters per nine innings through four starts, including four free passes his last time out.
  • OF Ender Inciarte (56K), Braves (at Brewers): Inciarte is displaying career-best power early this season, already eclipsing last year's total of three home runs. His current .177 ISO is nearly double his career norm. Brewers RHP Matt Garza has allowed just one home run per nine innings for his career, but he already allowed one in just four innings in his first and only start so far this season.

For up-to-the-minute starting lineups, check out Baseball Press.

Photos courtesy: Action Images

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