Playoff Probabilities: Projections & elimination numbers
Kevin Sousa / USA TODAY Sports
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Here are the the latest projections and playoff probabilities heading into the final week of the season.
Note: Division (DIV%), playoffs (POFF%), rest-of-season winning percentage (rosW%), and wild-card (WC%) probabilities are calculated by FanGraphs.
Courtesy of MLB.com, an elimination number is the combination of wins (by the first-place team) and losses (of the trailing team) that will eliminate the trailing team from winning the division or wild card. The elimination number for the second-place team is the "magic number" for the first-place team. "E" indicates the team has been eliminated from winning the division or wild card.
AL EAST
AL CENTRAL
AL WEST
AL WILD CARD
TEAM | WC% | WCE# |
---|---|---|
TOR | 93.6 | - |
BAL | 67.2 | - |
DET | 26.8 | 6 |
SEA | 8.6 | 5 |
HOU | 3.4 | 4 |
NL EAST
NL CENTRAL
NL WEST
NL WILD CARD
TEAM | WC% | WCE# |
---|---|---|
NYM | 88.8 | - |
STL | 57.6 | 7 |
SF | 54.4 | - |
PIT | 0.1 | 3 |